Model for prospective study of farms

Abstract

This paper sets out the characteristics and the main results from a predictive model created to identify the future strategies of stock breeders in Auvergne and Limousin. It evaluates the role that might be played by certain alternative farming methods in these plans. This model does not predict future behaviour of the breeders in these two regions. By linking typology to a decision-making process which combines the contribution of a projected approach and a standard approach, it enables the main possible developments of stock breeding in these two regions to be identified, as well as the events and actions which might influence this development. Account is taken of the essential diversity of the situation and behaviour that are typical of this population.